Global forecast for 2025 sees temperatures falling back below 1.5°C
A severe storm brought on by La Niña in Queensland, Australia Genevieve Vallee / Alamy Stock Photo The average global surface temperature during 2025 will be between 1.29°C and 1.53°C – and most likely 1.41°C – above the pre-industrial average, according to a forecast by the Met Office, the UK’s national weather and climate service. That is slightly cooler than 2024, which is set to be the first calendar year to exceed 1.5°C. “2024 will end up being near the top of our forecast confidence interval,” says Nick Dunstone of the Met Office. “This can happen by chance, but taken together with 2023 the observed global temperatures have been somewhat warmer than forecast.” The 2025 outlook suggests next year will be in the top three warmest years on record Met Office The forecasted fall in surface temperature in 2025 will be a result of heat being transferred from the atmosphere to the oceans due to the La Niña phenomenon, and does not mean the planet as a whole has stopped warming. The overall heat content …