All posts tagged: midterm

GOP’s midterm hopes faltered as abortion outranked economy among key voters, study finds

GOP’s midterm hopes faltered as abortion outranked economy among key voters, study finds

In the aftermath of the 2022 Congressional midterm elections, political analysts were surprised by the Democratic Party’s performance, which contradicted predictions of a strong Republican showing. A recent study published in the journal PLOS One presents evidence that voters were notably influenced by the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. The findings indicate that issue of abortion became a focal point in the midterms, helping Democrats attract swing voters, including Republicans in key races. Historically, the president’s party usually loses seats during midterms, particularly when economic conditions are poor and the president’s approval ratings are low. In 2022, despite high inflation and President Biden’s relatively low approval ratings, Democrats held on to more seats than anticipated. “Experts and scholars were generally convinced that the Democratic Party was poised to suffer defeats similar to what the President’s party experienced in the 2018, 2014, 2010, and 2006 midterm elections,” the study authors explained. “However, the actual election results caught pundits and scholars off guard. The Democratic Party only lost nine seats in the House of …

The Guardian view on Germany’s troubled ‘traffic-light’ coalition: dealing with the midterm blues | Editorial

Midterm electoral verdicts on incumbent administrations can be unsparing. But elections this month in Germany’s Bavaria and Hesse states were notable for delivering a particularly savage one on the country’s governing “traffic-light” coalition. In the red corner, Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s Social Democrats (SPD) recorded the party’s worst ever results in both states. The Greens’ share of the vote also fell alarmingly. The smallest party in the coalition, the liberal Free Democratic Party (FDP), barely troubled the scorers in Bavaria and failed to meet the threshold required to be represented in the state parliament. Depressingly, the most eye-catching beneficiary of this collective humiliation was the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD), which did well in both races. In Hesse, running on a net-zero-sceptic and anti-immigration agenda, it won close to 20% of the vote – its best performance in a western German state. Much of the explanation for these dismal results lies in the unwieldy and sometimes contradictory politics of the first three-party government in German history. Over the past year, Mr Scholz has struggled to keep …