GOP’s midterm hopes faltered as abortion outranked economy among key voters, study finds
In the aftermath of the 2022 Congressional midterm elections, political analysts were surprised by the Democratic Party’s performance, which contradicted predictions of a strong Republican showing. A recent study published in the journal PLOS One presents evidence that voters were notably influenced by the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. The findings indicate that issue of abortion became a focal point in the midterms, helping Democrats attract swing voters, including Republicans in key races. Historically, the president’s party usually loses seats during midterms, particularly when economic conditions are poor and the president’s approval ratings are low. In 2022, despite high inflation and President Biden’s relatively low approval ratings, Democrats held on to more seats than anticipated. “Experts and scholars were generally convinced that the Democratic Party was poised to suffer defeats similar to what the President’s party experienced in the 2018, 2014, 2010, and 2006 midterm elections,” the study authors explained. “However, the actual election results caught pundits and scholars off guard. The Democratic Party only lost nine seats in the House of …