All posts tagged: Longlands

After the local election results, how confident should Labour feel about the next election? Our panel responds | Rafael Behr, Katy Balls, Nadeine Asbali, John McDonnell, Dal Babu, Sarah Longlands, Peter Kellner and Archie MacKay

After the local election results, how confident should Labour feel about the next election? Our panel responds | Rafael Behr, Katy Balls, Nadeine Asbali, John McDonnell, Dal Babu, Sarah Longlands, Peter Kellner and Archie MacKay

Rafael Behr: The Tories haven’t yet plummeted to inconceivable depths – but they’re not far off Looking for a national picture in local council and byelection results always calls to mind the old joke about two drunkards scouring the pavement under a streetlamp. “Are you sure this is where you dropped your keys?” says one. “No,” says the other, “but this is where the light is.” In the zone of partial illumination things look bad for the Tories. They have already shed scores of council seats. The loss of Blackpool South, with a 26-point swing to Labour (the third biggest ever), is consistent with a pattern of byelection batterings that has put Keir Starmer on a safe trajectory towards Downing Street. Since there was speculation that the Reform party could come second in Blackpool, the Tories might eke dismal consolation in having avoided third place, but only just – by 117 votes. Reform’s 17% vote share is its best byelection performance to date but not the upset it was hoping for in a seat that …