Sixth Of Tory Voters Likely To Die Before Next Election
A sixth of Conservative voters may die before the public are next called to the polls because of the party’s older demographic, analysis claims. Focaldata has found voters are now more likely to vote blue when they turn 64, compared to 42 in 2019, as the party leans on support from the older generations. In the last five years, one in ten of voters who backed Boris Johnson’s Conservative Party have already died. Analysis by The Times using Office for National Statistics population estimates suggests this trend will accelerate during this parliament. The stats suggest 1.2m Tory supporters will have died by 2029, which is 17% of the party’s vote share. In comparison, only 500,000 Labour voters – or 5.3% – are expected to die in the same period, because the party has been attracting younger supporters. It does not consider how voters tend to shift to the Conservatives as they age, although this is a trend that is changing with younger generations. Keir Starmer’s party is also expected to scoop up the backing of …