How France is a ticking time-bomb which threatens to blow apart the EU | Express Comment | Comment
A secret poll – which was never supposed to have been leaked and was commissioned by Les Républicains (the French equivalent of the Tories) – has found that nationalist Marine Le Pen’s Rassemblement National (RN) party could win an outright majority in the French Parliament if an election was held right now. The poll found the Centre-Right could go from 62 MPs to around 53, while RN would win 278 seats, an astonishing jump from 88 seats today, with an absolute majority in sight. The party of President Emmanuel Macron would also drop from around 246 MPs to 135. In essence, voters would be abandoning quasi conservatives for the real deal, much as seems to be happening in the UK as Reform UK eats into the Conservative Party’s ever-decreasing vote share. However, while in France the Left would be stuffed – the New Ecological and Social People’s Union (Nupes) would drop from 131 to 68 seats – thanks to first past the post Labour now has a disproportionate advantage while Reform’s astonishing jump in the …